FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group stage
Saudi ArabiaKSA
Saudi Arabia15%
SA · HOME@6.36 · Elo 12% +3pp
GF 0 · GA 0 · xG 0.0 0.0
00
Pre-Match
13d21h35m29s
Draw 22% @4.18 +15pp
UruguayURU
Uruguay63%
UY · AWAY@1.50 · Elo 80% -17pp
GF 0 · GA 0 · xG 0.0 0.0
Hard Rock Stadium, · Tue 16 Jun, 00:00 CEST
Agent scoring · per LLM3 agents · consensus vs market
LLM consensusmean of 3
SA 13%D 0%UY 87%
Market consensusPolymarket + books
SA 15%D 22%UY 63%
LLMs vs marketSA -2.0ppUY +24.0pp
⚠ Top divergences from LLM consensus|Δ| sum across 3 outcomes
OpenPolymarket · Win the World Cup
Trade

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 World Cup?

0%0%0%
100%
Yes
No100¢
$572K Volall-time
OpenPolymarket · Win the World Cup
Trade

Will Uruguay win the 2026 World Cup?

1%1%1%
99%
Yes
No99¢
$2.7M Volall-time
Head-to-head1 meetings
SA wins
0
Draws
0
UY wins
0
20 Jun 2018L
UY10SA
Group Stage