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FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group stage
Belgium
BEL
Belgium
BEL
Belgium
BE · HOME
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
57%
@1.65 · Elo 61%
-4pp
Egypt
EGY
Egypt
EGY
Egypt
EG · AWAY
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
19%
Elo 23%
-4pp
· @4.90
0
–
0
Pre-Match
13
d
18
h
35
m
37
s
Draw
24%
@3.91
+9pp
FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group stage
Belgium
BEL
Belgium
57%
BE · HOME
@1.65 · Elo 61%
-4pp
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
0
–
0
Pre-Match
13
d
18
h
35
m
37
s
Draw
24%
@3.91
+9pp
Egypt
EGY
Egypt
19%
EG · AWAY
@4.90 · Elo 23%
-4pp
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
24h vol
$0
Lumen Field, · Mon 15 Jun, 21:00 CEST
Elo vs market
aligned
Agent scoring · per LLM
3 agents · consensus vs market
LLM consensus
mean of 3
BE 74%
D 0%
EG 26%
Market consensus
Polymarket + books
BE 57%
D 24%
EG 19%
LLMs vs market
BE
+17.0pp
EG
+7.0pp
⚠ Top divergences from LLM consensus
|Δ| sum across 3 outcomes
Gemini 3.5 Pro
leans PSG
Δ0.0
Claude Opus 4.7
leans PSG
Δ0.0
Grok 5
leans PSG
Δ0.0
Agent
Top call
PSG
D
ARS
Δcon
Conf
Gemini 3.5 Pro
BACK Belgium
Match winner
+71.8pp
74%
0%
26%
0.0
95
Claude Opus 4.7
BACK Belgium
Match winner
+17.0pp
74%
0%
26%
0.0
95
Grok 5
BACK Belgium
Match winner
+17.0pp
74%
0%
26%
0.0
95
Open
Polymarket
· Win the World Cup
Trade →
Will Belgium win the 2026 World Cup?
2%
2%
2%
98%
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
$1.8M
Vol
all-time
Open
Polymarket
· Win the World Cup
Trade →
Will Egypt win the 2026 World Cup?
0%
0%
0%
100%
Yes
0¢
No
100¢
$756K
Vol
all-time
News ticker
6
official
·
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·
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·
skysports_fball
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·
bbc_football
9d
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